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Using Social Listening Data to Predict the 2017 Oscars

By Megan Owara  •  February 24, 2017

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Using Social Listening Data to Predict the 2017 Oscars

Posted by: Megan Owara on February 24, 2017

With Hollywood's biggest night of the year finally here, you may be wondering who has the competitive edge going into Sunday night's Academy Awards.  Is there a way to data to predict the Oscars?

Social listening data can be a great way to gather industry and user-generated opinions on Hollywood's biggest award show of the year.  To select our picks, we used the universe post volume and positive sentiment from Infegy Atlas to score each movie, actor, and actress in their respective categories.  Each category includes a predicted winner in bold as well as a dark horse who could upset the leader underlined below.

And the Oscar goes to...

BEST PICTURE:

  • "Arrival"
  • "Fences"
  • "Hacksaw Ridge"
  • "Hell or High Water"
  • "Hidden Figures"
  • "La La Land"
  • "Lion"
  • "Manchester by the Sea"
  • "Moonlight"

BEST ACTOR:

  • Casey Affleck in "Manchester by the Sea"
  • Andrew Garfield in "Hacksaw Ridge"
  • Ryan Gosling in "La La Land"
  • Viggo Mortensen in "Captain Fantastic"
  • Denzel Washington in "Fences"

BEST ACTRESS:

  • Isabelle Huppert in "Elle"
  • Ruth Negga in "Loving"
  • Natalie Portman in "Jackie"
  • Emma Stone in "La La Land"
  • Meryl Streep in "Florence Foster Jenkins"

BEST DIRECTOR:

  • Denis Villeneuve, "Arrival"
  • Mel Gibson, "Hacksaw Ridge"
  • Damien Chazelle, "La La Land"
  • Kenneth Lonergan, "Manchester by the Sea"
  • Barry Jenkins, "Moonlight"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

  • Mahershala Ali in "Moonlight
  • Jeff Bridges in "Hell or High Water"
  • Lucas Hedges in "Manchester by the Sea"
  • Dev Patel in "Lion"
  • Michael Shannon in "Nocturnal Animals"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

  • Viola Davis in "Fences"
  • Naomie Harris in "Moonlight"
  • Nicole Kidman in "Lion"
  • Octavia Spencer in "Hidden Figure"
  • Michelle Williams in "Manchester by the Sea"

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

  • "Arrival"
  • "Fences"
  • "Hidden Figures"
  • "Lion"
  • "Moonlight"

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

  • "Hell or High Water"
  • "La La Land"
  • "The Lobster"
  • "Manchester by the Sea"
  • "20th Century Women"

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

  • "Arrival"
  • "La La Land"
  • "Lion"
  • "Moonlight"
  • "Silence"

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:

  • "Kubo and the Two Strings"
  • "Moana"
  • "My Life as a Zucchini"
  • "The Red Turtle"
  • "Zootopia"

Who do you think will take home the night's biggest prize?

Topics: entertainment, oscars

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